Ecological dynamics: trends and patterns

quantifying resilience in ecology and evolution under global environmental change

Ecological models can lead up to complex dynamical behavior starting off from simple cycles to chaos. The interplay of such dynamics with seasonality, space, community network structure has been widely studied mostly for single populations up to multispecies communities. Nonetheless, their consequence for community stability and resilience are important to understand. We are interested in quantifying the trends and patterns of such dynamics and their implications for the stability and persistence of whole ecosystems especially under environmental stress.

further reading:

  • Rigal S, Devictor V, Dakos V (2020). A method for classifying and comparing non-linear trajectories of ecological variables. Ecological Indicators, 112: 106113. doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2020.106113
  • Bathiany S, Dakos V, Scheffer M, Lenton T M (2018). Climate models predict increasing temperature variability in poor countries. Science Advances 4, eaar5809. doi:10.1126/sciadv.aar5809
  • Saavedra S, Rohr RP, Dakos V, Bascompte J (2013) Estimating the tolerance of species to the effects of global environmental change. Nature Communications, 4, 2350. doi:10.1038/ncomms3350
  • Dakos V, Benincà E, van Nes EH, Philippart CJM, Scheffer M, Huisman J (2009) Interannual variability in species composition explained as seasonally entrained chaos. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 276, 2871-2880.